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2025 South Korean presidential election

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2025 South Korean presidential election

← 2022 On or before 3 June 2025 2030 →
 
Party Democratic People Power

Incumbent President

Han Duck-soo (acting)
Independent



An early presidential election will be held in South Korea no later than 3 June 2025. Originally scheduled for 3 March 2027, the election was pushed forward to occur on or before 3 June 2025 following the impeachment and removal of Yoon Suk Yeol.[1][2] The date of 3 June is due to the requirement by the constitution of South Korea for an election to be held within 60 days of a permanent presidential vacancy, which has been the case since the 4 April decision of the Constitutional Court of Korea to uphold the impeachment and remove Yoon from office.

Since democratization and the establishment of the Sixth Republic, this will be the ninth presidential election, the second election after a presidential impeachment, and the first held in a different year than originally scheduled.[3]

Background

[edit]

Following the declaration of martial law by President Yoon Suk Yeol on 3 December 2024, the National Assembly voted to impeach him on 14 December 2024, with 204 of 300 lawmakers in support.[1] On 4 April 2025, the Constitutional Court of Korea upheld the impeachment, removing Yoon from office and vacating the presidency. Under the constitution, a presidential election must be held within 60 days to determine Yoon’s permanent successor as the country’s 14th president.[4][5] Acting President Han Duck-soo has until 14 April 2025 to announce the election date.[6]

Electoral system

[edit]

The president of South Korea is elected via a single-round plurality voting system, for a term of five years. Incumbent and former presidents are ineligible to seek re-election.[3] Unlike regularly scheduled presidential elections, the winner of this election will take office immediately after the results are confirmed by the National Election Commission, without a two-month transition period as usual.[7]

Nominees

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New Reform Party

[edit]

Potential candidates

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The National Election Commission (NEC) opened preliminary candidate registrations on 4 April 2025, following the confirmation of Yoon's impeachment and removal. Incumbent heads of municipal governments who intend to run for president must resign from their positions by 4 May.[10]

Democratic Party

[edit]

People Power Party

[edit]

New Future Party

[edit]

Declined or ineligible to run

[edit]

Opinion polls

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Polling before nominees finalized

[edit]
LOESS curve for the next South Korean presidential election with a 7-day average
Fieldwork date Sample size Margin
of error
Polling firm DPK PPP RKP NRP NFP Others Und./
no ans.
Lead
Lee Jae-myung
1-3 Apr 2025 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea[24] 34 5 2 4 9 1 1 1 5 38 25
31 Mar–2 Apr 2025 1,001 ±3.1 NBS[25][b] 33 2 0 4 4 4 2 2 9 1 2[c] 36 24
30–31 Mar 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News[26] 46.6 2.5 1.1 5.1 5.2 6.3 1.5 1.4 17.1 2.5 3.3 2.9[d] 4.5 29.5
28–29 Mar 2025 1,006 ±3.1 KSOI / CBS[27] 49.9 1.3 0.6 8.8 6.0 8.8 2.2 12.9 2.8 4.3[e] 5.4 37.0
26–28 Mar 2025 1,510 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN[28] 49.5 1.8 0.8 6.7 4.8 7.1 1.6 16.3 1.6 3.6[f] 6.1 33.2
25–27 Mar 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 34 5 3 3 1 8 2 6 37 26
24–26 Mar 2025 1,001 ±3.1 NBS[b] 31 2 1 5 5 6 2 2 8 1 2[g] 34 23
23–24 Mar 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 48.3 3.1 1.3 5.7 4.9 6.5 1.5 2.7 16.4 2.8 1.7 1.9[h] 3.3 31.9
22–24 Mar 2025 2,012 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 46.3 2.3 0.9 6.5 6.2 7.2 16.1 2.2 4.1[i] 8.2 30.2
21–22 Mar 2025 1,000 ±3.1 KSOI / CBS 44.8 2.5 1.0 6.5 6.9 6.8 2.7 15.4 3.3 4.5[j] 5.6 29.4
18–20 Mar 2025 1,003 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 36 4 4 3 9 1 5 37 27
17–19 Mar 2025 1,003 ±3.1 NBS[b] 33 2 0 4 5 5 2 3 10 2 3[k] 31 23
16–17 Mar 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 44.2 2.4 1.8 6.2 6.5 7.1 1.6 2.3 18.3 1.8 1.8 2.2[l] 4.0 25.9
15–16 Mar 2025 1,002 ±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 45.1 2.5 0.4 5.4 5.1 4.9 1.6 1.4 1.3 17.3 0.9 1.5 5.0[m] 7.6 27.8
15–16 Mar 2025 1,000 ±3.1 KSOI / CBS 47.2 2.0 0.6 5.7 5.5 6.4 1.4 16.7 2.5 5.5[n] 6.5 30.5
12–14 Mar 2025 1,510 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN 46.9 1.2 0.4 6.3 6.2 6.5 2.4 18.1 2.2 3.6[o] 6.3 27.4
11–13 Mar 2025 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 34 6 4 3 10 2 1 6 35 24
8–10 Mar 2025 2,001 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 42.8 2.2 1.2 8.4 6.2 6.4 19.1 2.5 4.5[p] 6.7 25
4–6 Mar 2025 1,003 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 35 6 4 5 10 1 1 4 34 25
3–5 Mar 2025 1,000 ±3.1 NBS[b] 29 2 0 6 8 6 1 2 10 1 2[q] 34 19
3–4 Mar 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 43.7 1.2 0.8 7.4 5.4 5.0 1.8 1.0 1.6 18.2 1.6 1.6 5.1[r] 5.7 22.3
28 Feb–1 Mar 2025 1,001 ±3.1 KSOI / Digital Times 42.0 2.0 1.0 7.8 7.0 6.2 1.6 19.7 1.5 3.0[s] 8.2 22.3
28 Feb–1 Mar 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Flower Research 43.6 1.5 6.4 5.1 5.3 1.3 11.8 1.2 3.5[t] 20.4 31.8
26–28 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview 42 2 2 7 6 5 1 1 2 22 2 2 4[u] 4 20
26–28 Feb 2025 1,506 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN 46.3 1.4 1.3 6.9 5.1 6.8 2.1 18.9 1.7 3.9[v] 5.5 27.4
25–27 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 35 4 3 4 1 1 10 1 4 34 25
24–26 Feb 2025 1,001 ±3.1 NBS[b] 31 1 0 5 6 6 2 2 13 1 2[w] 30 18
22–24 Feb 2025 2,004 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 40.4 1.8 0.9 6.5 8.0 5.6 2.4 20.4 2.6 3.1[x] 8.3 20.0
19–20 Feb 2025 1,010 ±3.1 Flower Research 43.3 2.2 3.3 6.3 6.7 1.9 12.0 0.7 1.9[y] 21.7 31.3
18–20 Feb 2025 1,002 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 34 4 4 5 1 1 9 2 2 5 32 25
17–19 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 NBS[b] 31 1 1 5 8 5 2 2 10 2 3[z] 31 21
13–14 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Realmeter / EKN 43.3 1.2 1.2 5.7 10.3 7.1 2.5 18.1 1.4 2.6[aa] 6.7 25.2
11–13 Feb 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 34 1 5 5 5 12 1 1 5 30 22.9
8–10 Feb 2025 2,001 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 41.6 1.4 1.2 6.4 9.6 5.8 2.2 18.7 2.4 4.1[ab] 6.7 22.9
5–6 Feb 2025 1,001 ±3.1 Media Research / Newspim 41.7 2.4 5.1 8.9 4.1 0.7 1.7 24.2 1.6 5.8[ac] 3.9 17.5
3–5 Feb 2025 1,005 ±3.1 NBS[b] 32 2 1 6 8 7 1 2 12 1 3[ad] 27 20
1–2 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 41.4 1.9 0.8 6.7 6.4 6.3 1.5 1.1 1.6 20.3 2.6 1.1 2.9[ae] 5.5 21.1
31 Jan–1 Feb 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / Segye Ilbo 37 1 5 7 4 1 1 11 1 1 4 26 26
31 Jan–1 Feb 2025 1,005 ±3.1 KOPRA / Asia Today 38 3 1 8 7 7 1 19 1 2 5[af] 9 19
29–31 Jan 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview 45 2 1 6 8 6 2 1 2 20 1 1 3[ag] 3 25
27–28 Jan 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 36 2 1 5 7 6 1 1 2 17 1 3[ah] 17 19
24–26 Jan 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Hankook Researach / KBS 35 3 0 7 5 5 1 1 2 14 1 6[ai] 18 21
23–25 Jan 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Ipsos / SBS 35 1 1 7 6 8 2 2 3 15 2 4[aj] 16 20
23–24 Jan 2025 1,031 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / JoongAngIlbo 36 4 8 7 10 16 1 4[ak] 14 20
22–23 Jan 2025 1,003 ±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 31 2 0 7 5 9 2 2 14 2 6[al] 20 17
21–23 Jan 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 31 1 5 3 4 1 1 11 2 1 5 33 20
20–22 Jan 2025 1,000 ±3.1 NBS[b] 28 2 1 6 6 7 2 3 14 1 4[am] 27 14
20–21 Jan 2025 1,012 ±3.1 Media Research / Newspim 36.4 2.5 6.4 6.7 5.7 2.0 2.8 24.9 1.5 6.9[an] 4.2 11.5
18–20 Jan 2025 2,006 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 37.9 2.6 1.2 7.3 9.1 12.3 5.7 2.7 2.6 10.2[ao] 8.4 25.6
14–16 Jan 2025 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 31 1 6 4 6 7 1 2 6 36 24
13–15 Jan 2025 1,005 ±3.1 NBS[b] 28 3 1 5 6 8 2 2 13 2 4[ap] 37 15
7–9 Jan 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 32 1 6 3 5 2 8 2 2 6[aq] 33 24
6–8 Jan 2025 1,000 ±3.1 NBS[b] 31 2 1 5 7 7 2 4 1 9[ar] 31 24
6–7 Jan 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Media Research / Newspim 39.1 3.1 1.6 5.8 9.5 9.3 6.2 2.6 1.5 14.1[as] 7.2 29.6
4–6 Jan 2025 2,003 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 45.1 2.2 1.2 7.8 6.1 9.7 7.2 2.2 3.1 8.0[at] 7.3 35.4
4–5 Jan 2025 1,000 ±3.1 KOPRA / Newdaily 40.9 3.0 2.1 8.5 7.3 10.3 2.9 7.9 3.1 5.6[au] 8.3 30.6
3–4 Jan 2025 1,015 ±3.1 Flower Research 42.8 3.0 5.4 5.8 8.2 2.3 2.1 3.8 26.7 34.6
29–31 Dec 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview 42 2 2 9 7 8 2 2 4 2 9[av] 10 33
29–31 Dec 2024 1,014 ±3.1 Next Researach / Maeil Business 32 3 1 5 8 8 3 3 9[aw] 28 24
29–31 Dec 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Hankook Researach / KBS 36 2 1 6 6 8 1 2 2 9[ax] 27 28
29–30 Dec 2024 1,003 ±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 40 2 0 7 5 8 2 3 2 1 8[ay] 22 32
29–30 Dec 2024 1,010 ±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 40.1 4.0 1.3 9.0 5.5 6.9 3.1 1.6 10.0 3.5 1.8 7.9[az] 5.3 31.1
29–30 Dec 2024 1,006 ±3.1 Embrain Public / JoongAngIlbo 35 2 0 6 5 8 2 2 2 5 2 1 8[ba] 22 27
28–29 Dec 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Research&Research / Dong-A Ilbo 39.5 4.3 0.8 8.0 8.7 8.9 3.7 3.0 2.3 8.1[bb] 11.5 30.6
28–29 Dec 2024 1,020 ±3.1 Metavoice / Kyunghyang Shinmun 33 2 7 5 4 1 1 5 2 1 1 8[bc] 31 26
26–27 Dec 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Hankook Researach / Korea Times 35 3 5 4 7 3 3 2 10[bd] 28 28
22–23 Dec 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Hankook Researach / Hankookilbo 38 2 7 5 5 3 3 2 10[be] 24 31
17–19 Dec 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 37 5 2 5 2 1 2 3 2 6[bf] 35 32
14–16 Dec 2024 2,002 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 48.0 5.7 8.0 5.7 7.0 4.8 2.8 4.0 5.9 8.1 40.0
9 December 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 49.0 4.4 1.2 9.1 6.0 5.8 3.3 6.8 5.6 8.6 39.9
7–9 Dec 2024 2,002 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 47.3 4.1 12.9 5.3 4.6 3.5 2.6 6.9 3.3 2.1 7.3 34.4
8 December 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 46.8 4.4 1.4 7.1 5.6 5.8 2.0 3.3 7.1 3.0 1.7 3.2[bg] 8.6 39.7
8 December 2024 1,007 ±3.1 Media Research / Newspim 52.4 3.9 3.1 9.8 6.7 4.9 5.5 6.1 7.7 42.6
6–7 Dec 2024 1,014 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / Kukminilbo 41 2 9 2 3 2 6 2 6 29 32
6–7 Dec 2024 1,004 ±3.1 Flower Research 42.5 2.1 9.9 6.2 6.1 1.2 5.0 0.8 2.3 24.0 32.6
3–5 Dec 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 29 3 11 3 3 1 2 4 1 5 37 18
4 December 2024 1,047 ±3.0 Media Research / Newspim 47.5 13.3 4.7 5.6 2.7 6.0 3.4 6.3 10.3 34.2
29–30 Nov 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Flower Research 38.4 2.8 13.1 7.1 5.6 1.6 4.4 1.5 1.2 24.3 25.3
26–27 Nov 2024 1,001 ±3.1 KSOI / CBS 41.3 3.4 0.7 19.3 7.0 5.8 6.3 7.3[bh] 9.0 22.0
23–25 Nov 2024 2,001 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 43.8 4.8 17.2 5.2 5.3 4.2 1.2 5.8 3.6 2.0 7.0 26.6
18–19 Nov 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 43.6 3.7 1.4 17.3 7.6 5.3 2.5 6.3 4.6 7.7 26.3
9-11 Nov 2024 2,000 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 46.9 4.1 17.0 4.2 4.7 4.0 1.8 5.7 3.8 2.2 5.5 29.9
8–9 Nov 2024 1,005 ±3.1 Flower Research 39.3 2.7 12.7 5.4 5.4 2.0 6.0 2.3 2.1 22.1 26.6
5-7 Nov 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 29 2 14 3 4 1 5 4 36 15
4–5 Nov 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 41.0 4.2 1.2 16.7 8.5 6.3 2.2 6.6 6.0 7.1 24.3
1–2 Nov 2024 1,002 ±3.1 KSOI / Ohmynews 37.3 4.1 1.7 15.3 7.1 5.8 8.2 3.9 7.0 9.7 22.0
26–28 Oct 2024 2,000 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 45.0 3.2 18.6 5.2 4.3 3.5 2.1 5.6 4.8 1.5 6.2 26.4
22 October 2024 1,004 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.6 3.9 1.2 19.2 6.4 4.6 2.2 6.0 5.2 8.7 23.4
12–14 Oct 2024 2,002 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 43.3 4.1 19.7 4.9 4.6 3.6 2.1 6.5 4.0 2.7 4.3 23.6
7–8 Oct 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 40.5 2.9 2.0 21.4 6.3 4.1 1.2 7.5 5.9 8.1 19.1
4–5 Oct 2024 1,007 ±3.1 Flower Research 35.1 2.0 15.4 5.7 5.0 2.4 5.1 2.1 2.1 24.9 19.7
28–30 Sep 2024 2,001 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 42.8 3.1 20.7 5.0 4.7 3.7 1.5 6.0 4.4 2.4 5.3 22.1
28–29 Sep 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 41.2 3.1 1.6 19.3 2.9 3.8 1.6 2.1 4.3 7.1 4.5 0.8[bi] 7.7 21.9
24–26 Sep 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 25 2 15 1 2 1 2 4 3 4 40 10
23–24 Sep 2024 1,005 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.0 2.4 1.0 21.1 6.5 4.6 2.2 7.3 5.7 7.2 20.9
11–12 Sep 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 29 2 1 18 5 6 1 1 3 5 3 4[bj] 22 11
10–12 Sep 2024 2,004 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 44.5 2.9 22.0 4.7 3.2 3.6 1.3 6.3 4.4 2.0 5.0 22.5
10 September 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.4 2.8 1.3 20.7 7.1 5.0 2.3 6.6 4.4 7.5 21.7
3–5 Sep 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 26 1 14 2 1 1 2 5 3 3 40 12
31 Aug-2 Sep 2024 2,003 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 42.1 3.1 20.9 3.7 3.3 4.1 1.5 6.2 5.9 2.2 7.0 21.2
26–27 Aug 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 40.7 2.5 0.9 24.2 7.3 3.9 1.6 6.0 5.3 7.8 16.5
20–21 Aug 2024 1,004 ±3.1 KOPRA / Kihoilbo 39.4 2.5 1.5 25.2 4.7 3.5 3.4 6.3 4.6 1.0[bk] 8.0 14.2
17–19 Aug 2024 2,006 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 43.2 3.0 25.6 3.6 3.5 3.2 1.6 4.7 4.7 2.3 4.7 17.6
12–13 Aug 2024 1,007 ±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 43.9 2.1 1.3 26.1 6.0 3.8 6.5 3.3 3.8 3.1 17.8
12–13 Aug 2024 1,006 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 28.5 4.9 5.4 19.8 7.4 6.2 3.3 8.7 8.7 7.1 8.7
9–10 Aug 2024 1,009 ±3.1 Flower Research 36.1 1.9 17.9 5.2 4.7 1.7 5.1 3.1 1.1 23.3 18.2
3–5 Aug 2024 2,002 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 39.0 3.1 27.8 3.4 4.1 3.9 2.1 5.4 5.5 1.1 4.6 11.2
29–30 Jul 2024 1,009 ±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 42.7 33.4 7.5 4.4 8.1 3.9 9.3
29–30 Jul 2024 1,005 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 37.9 3.1 29.5 5.0 4.1 1.6 6.8 3.8 3.3 4.9 8.4
23–25 Jul 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 22 19 2 3 3 1 5 3 4 38 3
20–22 Jul 2024 4,029 ±1.5 Jowon C&I / Straight News 38.5 2.9 26.9 5.0 3.2 5.8 1.4 6.1 5.1 1.3 3.8 11.6
7–8 Jul 2024 2,003 ±2.2 Embrain Public / YTN 27 1 17 7 5 1 2 5 2 1 2 28 10
6–8 Jul 2024 2,008 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 38.2 3.5 24.6 3.6 3.9 6.9 1.8 6.8 4.7 1.5 4.7 13.6
5–6 Jul 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Flower Research 34.3 1.9 18.5 5.9 4.5 1.8 5.8 2.2 2.0 23.1 15.8
2–4 Jul 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 23 17 3 3 2 1 5 2 5 38 6
1–2 Jul 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 35.9 4.5 24.6 7.9 5.4 1.7 7.2 4.5 3.2 5.0 11.3
22–24 Jun 2024 2,006 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 40.1 3.0 21.6 4.2 3.9 6.4 1.3 7.7 5.3 1.8 4.5 18.5
17–18 Jun 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 37.8 3.9 24.7 5.9 3.7 2.3 7.9 4.8 3.4 5.5 13.1
14–15 Jun 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / News1 28 17 1 3 1 1 1 7 3 3 35 11
11–13 Jun 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 22 1 15 2 3 1 1 5 3 5 42 7
9–10 Jun 2024 2,005 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 40.7 2.3 23.3 4.3 3.7 4.5 1.8 6.8 5.3 1.8 5.3 17.4
3–4 Jun 2024 1,004 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 35.6 2.8 25.9 6.5 4.1 2.0 6.5 5.5 3.9 7.2 9.7
1–3 Jun 2024 2,005 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 41.0 2.1 22.0 4.0 4.4 5.0 1.8 8.0 5.4 1.7 4.6 19.0
28–30 May 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Research View / PSPD 38 3 2 24 4 4 2 1 8 3 2 4[bl] 5 14
25–27 May 2024 2,004 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 39.6 2.5 22.8 3.9 4.4 4.6 1.8 7.5 6.3 1.5 5.1 16.8
20–21 May 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 36.8 2.4 24.5 5.5 5.2 2.3 7.4 5.2 6.5 4.3 12.3
11–13 May 2024 2,002 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 38.6 2.6 25.1 3.9 4.2 4.6 1.6 7.7 4.1 1.4 6.1 13.5
7–9 May 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 23 17 2 3 2 7 3 6 38 7
6–7 May 2024 1,003 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 37.3 3.5 26.0 5.3 4.7 2.1 7.7 4.2 3.1 5.9 11.3
27–29 Apr 2024 2,006 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 39.3 3.7 21.9 4.5 4.7 5.0 1.6 8.1 5.7 1.8 4.2 17.4
16–18 Apr 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 24 15 1 3 2 1 7 3 5 39 9
13–15 Apr 2024 2,013 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 37.8 23.9 4.4 10.1 5.7 11.1[bm] 7.1 13.9
2–3 Apr 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 27 1 23 3 4 2 5 2 5 2 2 1[bn] 24 4
28–29 Mar 2024 1,004 ±3.1 Research&Research / Dong-a Ilbo 31.5 4.3 21.8 5.9 6.7 4.1 1.5 6.2 3.9 2.7 11.3 9.7
28–29 Mar 2024 1,011 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily 27 20 1 2 1 4 1 2 3 38 7
26–27 Mar 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 32 2 24 3 4 2 2 2 5 1 3 1[bo] 19 8
5–7 Mar 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 23 1 24 2 2 1 3 2 2 5[bp] 35 1
20 February 2024 1,012 ±3.1 Media Research / Newspim 35.8 3.6 35.3 4.2 4.1 3.4 4.1 3.8 5.6 0.5
13–14 Feb 2024 1,004 ±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 37 5 34 3 4 3 2 4 4 1 3 3
6–7 Feb 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 26 4 23 5 5 3 3 2 3 3 1[bq] 21 3
3–4 Feb 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Metrix / Yonhapnews 28 3 25 3 5 2 3 4 4[br] 24 3
30 Jan–1 Feb 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 26 1 23 2 2 4 4 4 35 3
9–11 Jan 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 23 1 22 1 3 1 3 3 5 38 1
8–9 Jan 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 35.8 5.1 32.7 4.0 1.8 1.9 5.1 1.7[bs] 11.9 3.2
6–7 Jan 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Metrix / Yonhapnews 25 3 24 3 6 3 4 4 5[bt] 24 1
1–2 Jan 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 39 4 35 4 3 2 1 4 4[bu] 5 4
30–31 Dec 2023 1,018 ±3.1 KStat Research / TV Chosun 27 4 21 5 7 3 2 5 3[bv] 24 6
29–30 Dec 2023 1,005 ±3.1 Korea Research / MBC 27 3 22 4 7 2 3 3 3 5 1[bw] 21 5
28–29 Dec 2023 1,017 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / JoongAngIlbo 22 1 24 1 2 1 1 1 3 2 5[bx] 36 2
26–27 Dec 2023 1,000 ±3.1 Hankook Research / HankookIlbo 23 3 21 5 6 3 3 2 2 2 4 3[by] 26 2
25–26 Dec 2023 1,015 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 35.6 4.7 27.2 6.3 5.9 2.3 4.8 1.4[bz] 11.8 8.4
23–24 Dec 2023 1,024 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Asia Today 36.9 2.5 35.8 2.8 3.3 1.4 4.2 4.3 1.8 6.9 1.1
5–7 Dec 2023 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 19 2 16 2 4 1 2 2 3 5 43 3
7–9 Nov 2023 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 21 2 13 4 4 1 2 3 2 4 44 8
10–12 Oct 2023 1,002 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 22 1 14 4 3 1 2 1 1 6[ca] 46 8
5–7 Sep 2023 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 19 2 12 2 3 1 2 2 1 3 5[cb] 48 7
30 May–1 Jun 2023 1,002 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 22 1 11 4 5 1 2 1 2 5[cc] 46 11
11–13 Mar 2023 1,020 ±3.1 Kookmin Research Group, Ace Research / Newsis 37.3 16.4 7.1 7.2 3.5 5.6 4.2 4.1 5.7[cd] 9.0 20.9
29 Feb–2 Mar 2023 1,001 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 20 11 3 5 1 2 4 2 3 5 44 9
26–27 Jan 2023 1,006 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / Segye Ilbo 24.6 11.1 2.7 4.9 3.8 6.9 1.4 2.1 4.8 37.7 13.5
1–2 Jan 2023 1,020 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 33.7 1.5 18.1 9.0 8.3 5.4 3.8 6.4 2.6 11.2 15.6
26–27 Dec 2022 1,015 ±3.1 Global Research / The Hankyoreh 24.4 2.4 0.6 9.9 8.2 11.9 4.5 5.6 2.1 4.1 3.9[ce] 22.5 12.5
16–17 Dec 2022 1,016 ±3.1 Flower Research 31.4 2.4 10.2 9.1 3.5 4.5 5.1 6.1[cf] 27.9 21.2
4–6 Dec 2022 1,030 ±3.1 Ace Research / Newsis 37.3 18.6 7.9 7.4 8.0 3.3 4.1 5.2 1.0 7.3 18.7
4–5 Dec 2022 1,024 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 37.8 2.3 18.9 7.1 9.3 4.4 3.1 5.8 1.6 9.7 18.9
3–5 Dec 2022 1,002 ±3.1 Jowon C&I / Straight News 37.0 3.3 19.1 9.8 8.2 3.9 6.9 5.5[cg] 6.1 17.9
29 Nov –1 Dec 2022 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 23 10 2 4 2 3 2 3 6 44 13
5–7 Nov 2022 1,023 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 38.3 2.4 18.0 10.8 8.6 4.1 3.6 5.0 1.6[ch] 7.6 20.3
8–10 Oct 2022 1,021 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 41.1 3.2 17.1 10.8 7.3 4.1 6.0 3.3 7.0 24.0
10–12 Sep 2022 1,014 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 40.1 2.9 18.5 11.7 8.0 4.3 4.5 3.0 7.1 21.6
30 Aug–1 Sep 2022 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 27 9 4 4 2 4 3 2 4 41 18
6–8 Aug 2022 1,025 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 39.6 3.4 12.8 13.3 8.3 3.8 8.2 3.0 7.6 26.3
9–12 Jul 2022 1,045 ±3.0 Rnsearch / Mewspim 38.5 4.7 12.4 15.1 6.3 5.6 5.5 3.0 8.8 23.4
11–13 Jun 2022 1,025 ±3.1 Rnsearch / Mewspim 29.3 5.6 9.4 23.9 3.5 6.9 5.0 4.4 6.2 5.4
7–9 Jun 2022 1,000 ±3.1 Gallup Korea 15 4 4 10 5 6 1 3 4 46 5
29–31 Mar 2022 1,000 ±3.1 ResearchView 28 2 13 7 4 10 10 5 7 7[ci] 5 15
9 March 2022 2022 election 47.8 3.6[cj] 0.9 0.7

Hypothetical polling

[edit]

Lee Jae-myung vs. Han Dong-hoon

[edit]
Fieldwork date Sample size Margin
of error
Polling firm Lee Jae-myung Han Dong-hoon Lead
26–28 Mar 2025 1,510 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN[29] 54.3 17.2 37.1
12–14 Mar 2025 1,510 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN 51.8 18.6 33.2
26–28 Feb 2025 1,506 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN 49.7 20.3 29.4
26–27 Feb 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Flower Research 46.7 17.4 29.3
23–24 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 51.4 21.7 29.7
16–17 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 50.8 23.8 27.0
9–10 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 48.6 24.2 24.4
8–10 Feb 2025 2,001 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 45.3 19.0 26.3
3–4 Feb 2025 1,007 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 45.8 24.1 21.7
2–3 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 51.6 24.2 27.4
31 Jan–1 Feb 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / Segye Ilbo 47 34 13
24–26 Jan 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Hankook Researach / KBS 46 28 18
24–25 Jan 2025 2,001 ±2.2 KOPRA / Asia Today 45 34 11
23–25 Jan 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Ipsos / SBS 41 22 19
22–23 Jan 2025 1,003 ±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 39 33 6
29–31 Dec 2024 1,014 ±3.1 Next Researach / Maeil Business 46 23 23
22 October 2024 1,004 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 53.6 30.2 23.4
7–8 Oct 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 50.5 32.5 18.0
23–24 Sep 2024 1,005 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 51.9 32.8 19.1
23–24 Aug 2024 1,010 ±3.1 Flower Research 45.6 28.0 17.6
19–20 Aug 2024 1,008 ±3.1 Media Tomato / News Tomato 54.6 36.0 18.6
17–19 Aug 2024 1,025 ±3.1 Hangil Research / Kukinews 50.7 30.4 20.3
30–31 Mar 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Metrix / Yonhapnews 37 31 6
18–19 Mar 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 45.3 37.6 7.7
4–5 Mar 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.3 43.2 0.9
2–3 Mar 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Metrix / Yonhapnews 30 33 3
22–23 Feb 2024 1,015 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / Sedaily 43 46 3
19–20 Feb 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 40.4 46.6 6.2
5–6 Feb 2024 1,001 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 42.1 47.8 5.7
3–4 Feb 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Metrix / Yonhapnews 36 36 Tie
25–26 Jan 2024 1,011 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / Sedaily 45 42 3
22–23 Jan 2024 1,004 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 45.9 42.8 3.1
8–9 Jan 2024 1,002 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 45.5 43.1 2.4
6–7 Jan 2024 1,000 ±3.1 Metrix / Yonhapnews 36 36 Tie
30–31 Dec 2023 1,018 ±3.1 KStat Research / TV Chosun 38 38 Tie
20–21 Dec 2023 1,006 ±3.1 KOPRA 41 45 4

Lee Jae-myung vs. Kim Moon-soo

[edit]
Fieldwork date Sample size Margin
of error
Polling firm Lee Jae-myung Kim Moon-soo Lead
26–28 Mar 2025 1,510 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN[30] 54.1 28.5 25.6
19–20 Mar 2025 1,003 ±3.1 WinG Korea / Voice of Seoul 49.8 40.4 9.4
12–14 Mar 2025 1,510 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN 51.7 30.7 21.0
12 March 2025 1,000 ±3.1 WinG Korea / Voice of Seoul 48.7 42.7 6.0
8–10 Mar 2025 1,022 ±3.1 Hangil Research / Kukinews 47.2 34.0 13.2
26–28 Feb 2025 1,506 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN 50.0 31.6 18.4
26–27 Feb 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Flower Research 46.6 22.5 24.1
23–24 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 52.6 35.5 17.1
16–17 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 50.8 36.6 14.2
13–14 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Realmeter / EKN 46.3 31.8 14.5
12 February 2025 1,023 ±3.1 WinG Korea / Voice of Seoul 45.8 46.9 1.1
9–10 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 50.0 37.8 12.2
8–10 Feb 2025 2,001 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 46.1 34.2 11.9
5 February 2025 1,017 ±3.1 WinG Korea / Voice of Seoul 46.4 45.3 1.1
3–4 Feb 2025 1,007 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 46.6 38.1 8.5
2–3 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 53.1 34.7 18.4
31 Jan–1 Feb 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / Segye Ilbo 50 37 13
24–26 Jan 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Hankook Researach / KBS 47 35 12
24–25 Jan 2025 2,001 ±2.2 KOPRA / Asia Today 46 45 1
23–25 Jan 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Ipsos / SBS 42 28 14
22–23 Jan 2025 1,003 ±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 42 38 4
15–16 Jan 2025 1,039 ±3.0 WinG Korea / Voice of Seoul 45.4 43.5 1.9

Lee Jae-myung vs. Hong Joon-pyo

[edit]
Fieldwork date Sample size Margin
of error
Polling firm Lee Jae-myung Hong Joon-pyo Lead
26–28 Mar 2025 1,510 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN[31] 54.0 23.5 30.5
12–14 Mar 2025 1,510 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN 52.3 25.0 27.3
8–10 Mar 2025 1,022 ±3.1 Hangil Research / Kukinews 46.8 24.9 21.9
26–28 Feb 2025 1,506 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN 50.0 24.2 25.8
26–27 Feb 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Flower Research 47.6 23.5 24.1
23–24 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 51.2 29.6 21.6
16–17 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 50.5 29.0 21.5
13–14 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Realmeter / EKN 46.9 26.2 20.7
9–10 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 49.4 33.9 15.5
8–10 Feb 2025 2,001 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 45.6 25.5 20.1
3–4 Feb 2025 1,007 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 47.0 31.0 16.0
2–3 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 53.4 30.6 22.8
31 Jan–1 Feb 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / Segye Ilbo 47 39 8
24–26 Jan 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Hankook Researach / KBS 46 36 10
24–25 Jan 2025 2,001 ±2.2 KOPRA / Asia Today 46 42 4
23–25 Jan 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Ipsos / SBS 41 27 14
22–23 Jan 2025 1,003 ±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 41 41 Tie
29–31 Dec 2024 1,014 ±3.1 Next Researach / Maeil Business 47 28 19
28–29 Dec 2024 1,000 ±3.1 EveryResearch / Newsspirit 49.6 23.5 26.1

Lee Jae-myung vs. Oh Se-hoon

[edit]
Fieldwork date Sample size Margin
of error
Polling firm Lee Jae-myung Oh Se-hoon Lead
26–28 Mar 2025 1,510 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN[32] 54.5 23.0 31.5
12–14 Mar 2025 1,510 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN 51.8 25.6 26.2
8–10 Mar 2025 1,022 ±3.1 Hangil Research / Kukinews 47.9 23.8 24.1
26–28 Feb 2025 1,506 ±2.5 Realmeter / EKN 50.3 23.5 26.8
26–27 Feb 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Flower Research 46.8 24.0 22.8
23–24 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 52.5 29.7 22.8
16–17 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 51.3 31.7 19.6
13–14 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Realmeter / EKN 46.6 29.0 17.6
9–10 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 49.7 34.9 14.8
8–10 Feb 2025 2,001 ±2.2 Jowon C&I / Straight News 45.0 27.6 17.4
3–4 Feb 2025 1,007 ±3.1 Gongjung / Dailian 46.9 32.1 14.8
2–3 Feb 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Researchview / KPI News 53.2 31.8 21.4
31 Jan–1 Feb 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Gallup Korea / Segye Ilbo 47 43 4
24–26 Jan 2025 1,000 ±3.1 Hankook Researach / KBS 45 36 9
24–25 Jan 2025 2,001 ±2.2 KOPRA / Asia Today 46 43 3
23–25 Jan 2025 1,004 ±3.1 Ipsos / SBS 42 26 16
22–23 Jan 2025 1,003 ±3.1 Embrain Public / YTN 41 41 Tie
29–31 Dec 2024 1,014 ±3.1 Next Researach / Maeil Business 44 30 14
28–29 Dec 2024 1,000 ±3.1 EveryResearch / Newsspirit 50.2 26.7 23.5

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Kim Kyoung-soo was sentenced to prison in July 2021 and was ineligible to run for office until April 2028, but was pardoned and reinstated in August 2024, allowing him to run.[14]
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Embrain Public, KStat Research, Korea Research, Hankook Research
  3. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 1
  4. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.9, Others 1.0
  5. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 0.7, Others 2.6
  6. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.4, Others 2.2
  7. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 1
  8. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.0, Others 0.9
  9. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.2, Lee Cheol-woo 0.7, Others 2.2
  10. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.4, Others 3.1
  11. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 2
  12. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.0, Others 1.2
  13. ^ Na Kyung-won 2.8, Woo Won-shik 1.3, Kim Boo-kyum 0.7, Others 0.2
  14. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.8, Others 3.7
  15. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 0.8, Others 2.8
  16. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.2, Lee Cheol-woo 0.6, Others 2.7
  17. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 1
  18. ^ Na Kyung-won 2.1, Woo Won-shik 1.8, Kim Boo-kyum 0.7, Others 0.5
  19. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 0.6, Others 2.4
  20. ^ Woo Won-shik 2.3, Others 1.2
  21. ^ Woo Won-shik 2, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 1
  22. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.3, Others 2.6
  23. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 1
  24. ^ Woo Won-shik 1.9, Others 1.2
  25. ^ Woo Won-shik 0.7, Others 1.2
  26. ^ Woo Won-shik 1, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 1
  27. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.0, Others 1.6
  28. ^ Woo Won-shik 2.3, Others 1.8
  29. ^ Woo Won-shik 1.8, Kim Boo-kyum 1.8, Kim Doo-kwan 0.7, Others 1.5
  30. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 3, Woo Won-shik 2, Others 1
  31. ^ Woo Won-shik 1.3, Kim Boo-kyum 0.5, Others 1.1
  32. ^ Woo Won-shik 2, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 2
  33. ^ Woo Won-shik 1, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 1
  34. ^ Woo Won-shik 2, Kim Boo-kyum 1
  35. ^ Woo Won-shik 3, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 2
  36. ^ Woo Won-shik 2, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 1
  37. ^ Woo Won-shik 2, Others 2
  38. ^ Woo Won-shik 3, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 2
  39. ^ Woo Won-shik 3, Others 1
  40. ^ Woo Won-shik 2.3, Kim Boo-kyum 1.5, Kim Doo-kwan 0.4, Others 2.7
  41. ^ Woo Won-shik 3.0, Others 7.2
  42. ^ Woo Won-shik 3, Others 1
  43. ^ Woo Won-shik 1, Others 5
  44. ^ Woo Won-shik 3, Others 6
  45. ^ Woo Won-shik 3.2, Kim Boo-kyum 1.7, Park Yong-jin 0.2, Others 9.0
  46. ^ Woo Won-shik 4.0, Others 4.0
  47. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.3, Others 4.3
  48. ^ Woo Won-shik 4, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 4
  49. ^ Woo Won-shik 5, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 3
  50. ^ Woo Won-shik 5, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 3
  51. ^ Woo Won-shik 4, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 3
  52. ^ Woo Won-shik 3.9, Kim Boo-kyum 1.5, Na Kyung-won 1.0, Others 1.5
  53. ^ Woo Won-shik 4, Choo Mi-ae 1, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Na Kyung-won 1, Others 1
  54. ^ Woo Won-shik 4.8, Others 3.3
  55. ^ Woo Won-shik 2, Han Duck-soo 2, Others 4
  56. ^ Woo Won-shik 4, Others 6
  57. ^ Woo Won-shik 6, Others 4
  58. ^ Woo Won-shik 1, Others 5
  59. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.1, Others 2.1
  60. ^ Rhee Chang-yong 0.6, Others 6.7
  61. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 0.8
  62. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 2
  63. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.0
  64. ^ Choo Mi-ae 2, Others 2
  65. ^ Na Kyung-won 3.7, Others 7.4
  66. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
  67. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
  68. ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
  69. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
  70. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1, Sim Sang-jung 1, Others 2
  71. ^ Sim Sang-jung 1.7
  72. ^ Sim Sang-jung 2, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 2
  73. ^ Park Yong-jin 1, Others 3
  74. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 2
  75. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
  76. ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
  77. ^ Sim Sang-jung 2, Others 1
  78. ^ Sim Sang-jung 1.4
  79. ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 5
  80. ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
  81. ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
  82. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.6, Others 4.1
  83. ^ Sim Sang-jung 2.2, Im Jong-seok 0.5, Others 1.2
  84. ^ Sim Sang-jung 2.0, Others 4.1
  85. ^ Park Yong-jin 1.0, Others 4.5
  86. ^ Park Yong-jin 0.3, Others 1.3
  87. ^ Kim Boo-kyum 2, Song Young-gil 2, Park Yong-jin 1, Others 2
  88. ^ Sim Sang-jung 2.4, Others 1.2

References

[edit]
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  27. ^ https://www.nesdc.go.kr/portal/bbs/B0000005/view.do?nttId=15941
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